Based in my experience visiting my parents in Ames the past few days, I think that if I were an Iowa voter, I would caucus for the candidate who called me the least often -- that is, only five times during the final week. That said, those four days in Iowa have given me the false confidence to make caucus predictions:
Richardson, I'm afraid, is going to have some problems meeting the 15% viability threshold, although if he tracks just a few points higher than the polls suggest, he could get 15% or more of the delegates and be the big surprise out of the caucuses. And as for Obama, I'm just not convinced that the young and the independent are going to come out in numbers high enough to push him over the candidates preferred by older and more Democraty Democrats. (Me being one who's youngish and independentish, it's no wonder he's my favorite Democratic candidate.)
I think Huckabee's two missteps in the last couple days — the "attack ad" and choosing Leno over Iowa for Caucus Eve — are going to swing the the race to Romney. People are talking about Giuliani potentially finishing last among the six major Republican candidates, but I just can't see one of the national leaders finishing that low. Thompson's done for.
i sincerely do not know what you are doing here. are you lost? were you
looking for your delicate calico cat, and did you follow her up two flights of stairs
to this room? she is not here. she was here, yes. we gave her a warm bowl of milk, we talked with her about campaign finance reform for a time, and then she bid us good day. i believe she was
going to the post office two blocks down, but i don't quite recall.
for surely you did
not find your way from prinsiana, the least traveled site on
the internet. if you did, though, perhaps you are looking for humor. perhaps you are looking for profundity. perhaps you are looking for answers.
i'm sorry, but you shall go naught-for-three.
