Fearless prediction of the week.

The Chiefs finish the regular season 16-0 -- they only have two games remaining against teams with winning records, although one is at 7-1 Minnesota -- but lose in the playoffs.

oh so lovingly written byMatthew |  these are comments, 2.


An apology.

I am very sorry about not posting posts this week. I have been using my last few lunches doing stupid things like move money from one account to another so Kim and I can get a giant (in terms of cash, not in terms of novelty-size) cashiers' check to close on the house, and then getting the cashiers' check, and then today closing on our new house. I am bad bad bad. Please forgive me.

---
House-closing joke of the day.

Actual conversation from closing this morning.

Lawyer: So after we sign all the contracts in a couple weeks regarding the house you are selling, there are a number of ways the proceeds from the sale can be transferred to you. We can a direct deposit, or you can get a check from the closing agent, or...
Me: Can we get a briefcase full of cash?

On the same subject, shockingly to me (though apparently not to Kim, who'd already run the numbers in her head), the check we will get from the proceeds of our current house will actually be slightly higher than the cashiers' check we cut to pay for this house. Of course, we have 30 years of payments on the new house vs. about 13 on the prior, but still.

---
How Perfectly Swell Marginally Cool Friday Giveaway!

Two this week:

a) A extra-large t-shirt from the American Association of Working People, which you can join for free because I love you so.

b) The entire contents of my upper-left-hand desk drawer at work, other than a few items that I need for work and two driver disks that I'd rather not give away. Included are a number of nondeliverable brochures, the useless user's manual to an EPIA Mini-ITX computer, two or three print cartridges to a printer my company no longer owns, two CD-Rs that have who knows what on them (although I will check to make sure the material is not sensitive work-related material before sending them along), and other stuff at the bottom of the drawer that I cannot see because there is all that listed stuff at the top.

First respondent gets first choice. Second respondent gets second. Third respondent gets tears of frustration.

oh so lovingly written byMatthew |  these are comments, 4.


Advanced strategies of the week.

It's these.

oh so lovingly written byMatthew |  these are comments, 3.


oh so lovingly written byMatthew |  these are comments, 9.


How Perfectly Swell Marginally Cool Friday Giveaway!

From now until at least the end of the year, every Friday How Perfectly Swell is going to give away something marginally cool to the first person who responds that yes, he or she would like to have that marginally cool item. (After Kim and I have moved in and found my "Eileen" DVDs again, no doubt that will be one of them.) Today's item is 20 starter packs of Bayer Genuine Asprin, with each starter pack containing seven Bayer caplets, meaning that you get -- yes! -- 140 Bayer Asprin pills. And...go!

oh so lovingly written byMatthew |  these are comments, 10.


I have.

Updated my 2003 top ten list. You will see all these films, and you will like all these films.

I want.

This.

oh so lovingly written byMatthew |  these are comments, 4.


oh so lovingly written byMatthew |  these are comments, 14.


Osama bin Laden quote of the week.

From the Oakland Tribune: "[The United States] also witnessed a budget deficit for the third consecutive year. This year's deficit reached a record number estimated at $450 billion. Therefore, we thank God."

oh so lovingly written byMatthew |  this is comment, one.


Um.

This is an interesting article. I do not know what I think of it.

oh so lovingly written byMatthew |  these are comments, 3.


oh so lovingly written byMatthew |  these are comments, 2.


There is one question that Cubs fans everywhere are asking, and it is this.

Which is the greater indignity: Having not won a pennant since 1945 or not having won a World Series since 1908? It is not very many sports teams that have two such nonaccomplishments to choose from, so it is best to be fair and objective to both of the Cubs' streaks and subject them each to a probability analysis. To wit: By pure chance -- rather than lack of talent -- would it be harder to go 58 years without winning a National League title or 95 years without being the best team in baseball?

Let's start with the pennant. Between 1946 and 1961 there were 8 teams in the National League. Two more were added in 1962, another two in 1969, a third two in 1993, and the final two -- bringing the NL to 16 teams -- in 1998. Thus, the probability, assuming pure chance, of the Cubs not winning a pennant in that time is expressed by this formula:

(7/8)16 x (9/10)7 x (11/12)24 x (13/14)5 x (15/16)6

Which equals 0.00328, or a 1 in 305 chance of not winning a pennant since '45.

Now, regarding the World Series. Between 1909 and 1960 there were 16 teams in Major League Baseball. Two more were added in 1961, another two in 1962, two again in 1969, a fourth two in 1977, a further two in 1993, and the final two -- bringing MLB to 30 teams -- in 1998. Thus, the probability, assuming pure chance, of the Cubs not winning a World Series in that time is expressed by this formula:

(15/16)52 x (17/18)1 x (19/20)7 x (23/24)8 x (25/26)16 x (27/28)5 x (29/30)6

Which, surprisingly to me, equals only 0.00594, or a 1 in 168 chance of not winning a World Series since '08. It just shows to go.

oh so lovingly written byMatthew |  these are comments, 8.



oh so lovingly written byMatthew |  these are comments, 7.


oh so lovingly written byMatthew |  these are comments, 4.


Ten things I do not like, vol. i.
  • Sneezing so violently and so persistently that one’s right side starts to hurt.
  • Television markets that do not have a WB station.
  • This.
  • People who do not believe that The School of Rock is the funniest film of the year.
  • Packing.
  • Forgetting to turn off the printer in my office even though there is a sign right about the light switch that says, "TURN OFF PRINTER!"
  • That I have not used footnotes in a post in oh so long.
  • Eighth innings.
  • People who have birthdays but who will not tell their siblings what they would like for the celebration of said event.
  • Richmond-area alternative newspapers that print stupid comic strips like this one.

    oh so lovingly written by Matthew |  these are comments, 8.


    Congratulations to my cousin Birgit.

    And her team's little victory.

    Also, I should mention the black sheep in the family -- you know, the one who wears a Hooters shirt.

    oh so lovingly written by Matthew |  these are comments, 2.



    oh so lovingly written by Matthew |  these are comments, 3.


    There are things.

    Things I do not like.

    oh so lovingly written by Matthew |  these are comments, 3.


    There are people.

    People who do not tell people about things people should be told about but no instead people stumble across them accidentally. Stephanie Tanner would have something to say about that.

    oh so lovingly written by Matthew |  these are comments, 5.


    Only 78 shopping days 'till.

    Kim likes to get a very early start, so here is version 1.0 of my Christmas list. Kim tells me she has already purchased one of these items for me, so you may wish to discuss any potential purchases with her.

    * Michael Lewis’ Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game.
    * David Foster Wallace's Everything and More: A Compact History of Infinity.
    * Either of the two out-of-print "Tom the Dancing Bug" collections.
    * All the "Calvin and Hobbes" collections, as I have none.
    * A subscription to Timothy McSweeney's Quarterly Concern or The Believer.
    * The Wind Will Carry Us, Leila, After Life, Memento, In the Mood for Love, Hell House, or Punch-Drunk Love on new or used DVD.
    * Mike Leigh's Grown-Ups, Hard Labour, or Who's Who on new or used VHS, or the book Mike Leigh: Interviews.
    * The Beckett on Film collection.
    * The complete first season of "The West Wing".
    * Any or all of the 17-episode run of Errol Morris' "First Person" television series, which is not available on VHS or DVD anywhere as far as I know.
    * Either of the two Bjork box sets.
    * Johnny Cash's American Recordings or American IV: The Man Comes Around.
    * Gavin Bryars' Jesus' Blood Never Failed Me Yet.
    * A better Scott Joplin CD than the one that I bought for $4 at Wal-Mart, which has approximately the same sound quality the piano soundtrack to Eileen. (By the way, how can this be The Complete Works of Scott Joplin when it does not include "The Entertainer"? Huh?)
    * The Complete Early Recordings of Skip James.
    * Michael W. Smith's and Bruce Cockburn's Christmas albums on CD. (I have them only on cassette.)
    * Underwear, preferably boxer-briefs in dark variations of primary and secondary colors.
    * Lemon-Lime All Sport.
    * A ___________ DVD writer for my computer. (Edward: Please fill in the blank as to the type [DVD-R+, or whatever] that I would like.)
    * A disc golf basket.
    * A cure for materialism.

    oh so lovingly written by Matthew |  these are comments, 10.



    oh so lovingly written by Matthew |  this is comment, one.


    You don't ever count your money while you're sittin' at the table.

    Record to date against the spread: 11-4. If I had bet $1000 a game, I would be $6600 richer, although I would have one fewer wife.

    All underdogs again this week:
    • Georgia Tech plus 6½ over North Carolina State (i.e. I expect Georgia Tech to win or to lose by less than 6½ points).
    • North Carolina plus 7 over Virginia.
    • Fresno State plus 6 over Colorado State.
    • UTEP plus 11½ over SMU.
    • Iowa State plus 21 over Oklahoma.
    I expect that underdog Iowa cover the 3 points versus Michigan State, but that does not count as one of my picks.

    oh so lovingly written by Matthew |  these are comments, 2.


    This is a picture of something.

    I don't remember what.

    oh so lovingly written by Matthew |  these are comments, 10.



    oh so lovingly written by Matthew |  these are comments, 5.


short & sour.
oh dear.
messages antérieurs.
music del yo.
lethargy.
"i live to frolf."
friends.
people i know, then.
a nother list.
narcissism.













Current Mortgage Rates  Chicago CD Rates  Financial Aggregating